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Red160
418327.1
940037.6
98776.9
Blue82
871716.5
707722.0
240346.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1356705010015020016082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+66Teleop
+78Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
21Coral scored#13
77Coral points45
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
107Total teleop65
Reef
11L4#5
10L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
6Foul points6
160Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
76.91.9
66.268.1
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
red by 30.6
46.30.2
37.837.6
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.5
Second
9400
#15
37.61.9
30.632.5
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
red by 15.6
7077
#39
22.00.3
17.417.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
4183
#11
27.12.3
18.120.4
Auto1.4
Teleop23.9
End1.8
red by 10.6
8717
#22
16.50.2
12.212.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed