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Red98
429.6
59730.2
682416.7
Blue72
900216.4
1018321.5
1036818.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815002040601001201409872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
78Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
98Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#33
30.21.6
25.727.2
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.5
red by 8.8
21.51.3
14.916.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.1
End8.1
Second
4
#24
29.61.4
20.521.9
Auto3.7
Teleop23.7
End2.2
red by 11.5
18.11.3
10.912.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Third
6824
#32
16.72.4
17.519.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 0.2
9002
#30
16.41.3
19.020.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned