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Red55
940625.7
953414.1
504918.0
Blue97
1018614.7
760714.9
242951.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578802040801001201401605597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+22
Endgame+10
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
6Coral scored#10
23Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
33Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points32
55Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9406
#16
25.70.3
23.122.9
Auto2.9
Teleop15.3
End7.5
blue by 26.1
51.80.7
43.442.7
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
Second
5049
#44
18.00.5
14.313.8
Auto1.6
Teleop13.5
End2.9
red by 3.1
7607
#42
14.91.0
14.813.9
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
9534
#41
14.10.3
16.015.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 0.6
14.71.0
15.514.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned