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Red161
399062.4
742665.5
98814.4
Blue52
802217.6
585715.1
942618.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1513705010020016152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+79Teleop
+97Endgame
+109Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
6Leave6
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points3
48Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
14Coral scored#7
49Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
75Total teleop35
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#1
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#10
BargeRed +18
26Cage & park8
26Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +109
12Foul points0
161Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.50.6
61.161.6
Auto18.2
Teleop39.4
End7.8
red by 47.1
9426
#40
18.40.9
17.016.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End3.2
Second
62.40.6
53.353.8
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
red by 44.7
8022
#31
17.60.9
14.613.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End1.4
Third
988
#25
14.40.6
12.413.0
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 0.7
5857
#38
15.10.6
14.614.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed