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Red183
99121.7
441481.6
105635.4
Blue66
765412.0
928718.3
901821.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1416405010020018366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+99Teleop
+111Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave3
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +72
22Coral scored#11
79Coral points39
6Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
36Processor points12
16Net points8
52Algae points20
131Total teleop59
Reef
7L4#3
10L3#4
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +117
6Foul points0
183Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.62.4
71.373.7
Auto17.3
Teleop57.0
End7.4
red by 60.2
9018
#19
21.52.0
18.716.8
Auto3.6
Teleop15.8
End2.1
Second
1056
#12
35.42.4
26.829.2
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End3.3
red by 17.1
9287
#26
18.32.0
24.022.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.2
End0.7
Third
991
#23
21.72.4
17.219.6
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 9.7
7654
#43
12.02.0
16.314.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed