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Red185
800529.8
240346.3
98776.9
Blue141
442153.9
742532.7
838720.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14679050100200185141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points34
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +35
25Coral scored#16
89Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
125Total teleop90
Reef
8L4#6
13L3#7
5L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#30
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
185Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
76.93.1
68.171.2
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
red by 22.9
53.93.7
40.243.9
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
Second
46.33.1
37.640.7
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.5
red by 13.6
7425
#21
32.73.3
22.525.8
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End-0.3
Third
8005
#10
29.83.1
19.122.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.7
End4.4
red by 9.4
8387
#20
20.45.5
14.219.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned