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Red102
765412.0
1018614.7
138854.8
Blue140
718323.2
901821.5
940037.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9271020406080100120140160102140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points53
1Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
6Processor points24
24Net points20
30Algae points44
82Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points32
102Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.5
44.645.1
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
red by 17.2
9400
#15
37.61.7
32.634.3
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
Second
14.70.8
14.715.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
blue by 8.5
7183
#14
23.21.7
9.311.0
Auto2.4
Teleop19.3
End1.6
Third
7654
#43
12.00.8
14.315.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.4
blue by 9.5
9018
#19
21.52.8
16.819.6
Auto3.6
Teleop15.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned