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Red89
1036818.1
242951.8
953414.1
Blue105
429.6
915115.2
442153.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751065015089105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+26
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
4Coral scored#4
19Coral points21
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
54Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
89Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.81.2
42.143.3
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
blue by 2.1
53.91.2
43.945.1
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
Second
18.12.0
15.117.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 11.5
4
#24
29.61.2
23.624.8
Auto3.7
Teleop23.7
End2.2
Third
9534
#41
14.11.2
13.915.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 1.1
9151
#28
15.22.0
19.521.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed