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Red41
900216.4
942618.4
682416.7
Blue150
242951.8
442153.9
718323.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641215010015020041150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+95
Endgame+109
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +34
0Leave6
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
6Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +61
5Coral scored#16
19Coral points56
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
0Processor points12
12Net points24
12Algae points36
31Total teleop92
Reef
2L4#9
2L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
2Foul points2
41Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9426
#40
18.42.5
17.915.4
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End3.2
blue by 35.6
53.93.1
45.148.2
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
Second
6824
#32
16.72.5
21.619.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 35.2
51.83.1
43.346.4
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
Third
9002
#30
16.42.5
18.816.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End2.5
blue by 6.8
7183
#14
23.23.1
11.014.0
Auto2.4
Teleop19.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned