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Red106
585146.4
300922.3
871716.5
Blue94
504918.0
765412.0
429.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96682040608012014016010694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+16Teleop
+20Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
18Coral scored#17
66Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
80Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#7
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#22
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points8
106Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#13
46.40.5
42.843.3
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
red by 16.8
4
#24
29.60.7
24.825.5
Auto3.7
Teleop23.7
End2.2
Second
3009
#18
22.30.5
19.319.7
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1
red by 4.3
5049
#44
18.01.2
11.012.2
Auto1.6
Teleop13.5
End2.9
Third
8717
#22
16.50.5
12.913.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End2.0
red by 4.5
7654
#43
12.01.2
15.116.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed