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Red88
742532.7
1018614.7
802217.6
Blue45
915115.2
1036818.1
542916.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696745505560657580858845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
60Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
6Foul points4
88Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7425
#21
32.71.1
23.624.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End-0.3
red by 14.6
18.12.8
17.114.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Second
8022
#31
17.61.8
15.817.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End1.4
red by 1.4
5429
#36
16.22.8
15.712.9
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End2.2
Third
14.71.8
15.517.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
blue by 0.5
9151
#28
15.22.8
21.518.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed