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Red141
940037.6
442153.9
953414.1
Blue100
742532.7
99121.7
6022.3
66%Model gave it34%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8870050100150141100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+31Teleop
+39Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points51
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
18Processor points18
12Net points16
30Algae points34
88Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#4
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#22
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
4Foul points2
141Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.93.5
32.736.2
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
red by 21.2
7425
#21
32.70.8
23.424.2
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End-0.3
Second
9400
#15
37.62.6
28.030.6
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
red by 15.3
60
#29
22.30.8
21.722.4
Auto3.3
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Third
9534
#41
14.13.2
12.816.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 7.6
991
#23
21.70.8
15.416.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed