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Red67
429.6
682513.2
928718.3
Blue225
399062.4
822947.8
585146.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56157010020067225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+92
Endgame+102
Fouls+158
AutonomousBlue +34
3Leave9
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
3Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +58
11Coral scored#24
38Coral points86
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
52Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#10
2L3#11
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +158
6Foul points62
67Total score225

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4
#24
29.60.7
21.220.5
Auto3.7
Teleop23.7
End2.2
blue by 32.8
62.41.3
48.750.0
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
Second
9287
#26
18.31.2
19.718.6
Auto2.5
Teleop15.2
End0.7
blue by 29.5
47.81.3
43.945.2
Auto10.5
Teleop29.9
End7.5
Third
6825
#37
13.21.2
16.715.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
blue by 33.2
5851
#13
46.41.5
38.339.8
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned