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Red98
98814.4
240346.3
1018614.7
Blue84
105635.4
949818.4
900216.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805920401001209884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+20
Endgame+32
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#2
1Coral points8
10Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +13
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
38Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
46Foul points0
98Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.4
39.237.8
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.5
red by 10.9
1056
#12
35.41.8
21.723.5
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End3.3
Second
14.70.8
14.715.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
blue by 3.7
9498
#45
18.42.9
19.722.6
Auto2.7
Teleop14.2
End1.5
Third
988
#25
14.41.7
16.114.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 2.0
9002
#30
16.42.9
16.119.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned