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Red119
98776.9
707722.0
838720.4
Blue63
760714.9
59730.2
300922.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1166605010015020011963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
19Coral scored#8
67Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
85Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#3
10L3#2
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
119Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
76.90.7
65.566.2
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
red by 46.6
597
#33
30.21.0
26.625.7
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.5
Second
7077
#39
22.01.1
16.317.4
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 0.3
3009
#18
22.30.8
20.719.9
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Third
8387
#20
20.41.1
16.317.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.4
red by 5.5
7607
#42
14.91.3
16.114.8
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed