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Red73
915115.2
300922.3
1018614.7
Blue67
760714.9
682416.7
99121.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74694060801001207367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
56Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points6
73Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#18
22.30.2
19.719.5
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1
red by 0.6
991
#23
21.70.8
20.019.2
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
Second
9151
#28
15.20.3
18.718.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
blue by 1.4
6824
#32
16.71.4
19.117.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
14.70.3
17.417.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
blue by 0.2
7607
#42
14.91.4
13.412.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed