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Red150
718323.2
138854.8
707722.0
Blue114
953414.1
429.6
585146.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100103050150200150114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
19Coral scored#19
68Coral points69
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
96Total teleop101
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
24Foul points0
150Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.82.3
45.147.5
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
red by 8.4
5851
#13
46.41.1
43.344.3
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
Second
7183
#14
23.22.3
14.016.4
Auto2.4
Teleop19.3
End1.6
blue by 6.4
4
#24
29.61.1
25.526.6
Auto3.7
Teleop23.7
End2.2
Third
7077
#39
22.03.9
19.623.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
red by 7.9
9534
#41
14.11.1
15.116.2
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed