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Red24
6022.3
1036818.1
765412.0
Blue122
450117.9
900216.4
240346.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions689402040608012014016024122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+62
Endgame+60
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +55
3Coral scored#13
9Coral points46
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
9Total teleop64
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points38
24Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
#29
22.32.0
22.920.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.4
End2.6
blue by 24.0
46.30.6
41.442.1
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.5
Second
18.13.3
14.311.0
Auto3.1
Teleop11.4
End3.5
red by 0.2
4501
#34
17.90.6
16.817.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End-0.5
Third
7654
#43
12.03.3
16.313.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.4
blue by 4.4
9002
#30
16.41.0
16.417.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed