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Red125
585715.1
399062.4
901821.5
Blue98
442153.9
98814.4
940625.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121005015020012598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+39Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +42
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
88Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#4
10L3#4
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
125Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.41.0
56.557.5
Auto15.9
Teleop38.1
End8.4
red by 8.4
53.90.6
48.247.6
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
Second
9018
#19
21.51.7
19.320.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 4.2
9406
#16
25.70.6
24.824.2
Auto2.9
Teleop15.3
End7.5
Third
5857
#38
15.11.0
15.316.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End2.0
red by 0.7
988
#25
14.40.6
13.713.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned