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Red127
441481.6
928718.3
871716.5
Blue178
98776.9
542916.2
242951.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191476080100140160180200220127178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+29
Endgame+49
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +20
9Leave9
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points34
23Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +9
20Coral scored#20
72Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
100Total teleop109
Reef
8L4#12
7L3#8
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points2
127Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.5
79.279.6
Auto17.3
Teleop57.0
End7.4
red by 4.8
987
#1
76.92.3
72.574.9
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
Second
9287
#26
18.30.8
17.218.0
Auto2.5
Teleop15.2
End0.7
blue by 33.5
51.82.3
46.448.7
Auto10.7
Teleop35.1
End6.0
Third
8717
#22
16.50.5
12.613.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End2.0
red by 0.3
5429
#36
16.23.9
12.916.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned