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Red78
942618.4
915115.2
99121.7
Blue109
105635.4
418327.1
59730.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6110320408012014016078109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
57Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points6
78Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
#23
21.70.3
19.219.5
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
blue by 13.7
1056
#12
35.40.6
29.530.1
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End3.3
Second
9426
#40
18.40.6
14.415.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End3.2
blue by 11.8
597
#33
30.20.6
28.529.1
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.5
Third
9151
#28
15.20.6
18.418.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.1
End2.9
blue by 11.9
4183
#11
27.10.6
22.923.5
Auto1.4
Teleop23.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed