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Red101
822947.8
802217.6
240346.3
Blue54
953414.1
718323.2
760714.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13445010015010154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
79Total teleop41
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#4
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
101Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.2
45.044.7
Auto10.5
Teleop29.9
End7.5
red by 24.6
7183
#14
23.20.6
16.417.0
Auto2.4
Teleop19.3
End1.6
Second
46.30.2
42.141.8
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.5
red by 31.4
7607
#42
14.91.1
12.013.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
8022
#31
17.60.4
17.717.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End1.4
red by 3.5
9534
#41
14.10.6
16.216.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed