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Red85
585146.4
682513.2
765412.0
Blue86
1018614.7
1036818.1
800529.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926302040801001201408586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#7
35Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
53Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
12Foul points14
85Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#13
46.40.4
44.343.9
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
red by 16.6
8005
#10
29.80.7
24.325.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.7
End4.4
Second
6825
#37
13.20.7
14.413.7
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
blue by 4.9
18.11.2
11.012.2
Auto3.1
Teleop11.4
End3.5
Third
7654
#43
12.00.7
13.112.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.4
blue by 2.7
14.71.2
17.118.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned