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Red76
940037.6
682416.7
838720.4
Blue146
742665.5
138854.8
450117.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741525010020076146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+68
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points35
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +40
10Coral scored#21
36Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
58Total teleop98
Reef
3L4#10
5L3#5
2L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
18Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
76Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9400
#15
37.60.6
36.235.6
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
blue by 27.9
65.50.4
61.061.4
Auto18.2
Teleop39.4
End7.8
Second
8387
#20
20.41.0
17.316.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.3
End1.4
blue by 34.4
54.80.4
47.547.9
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
Third
6824
#32
16.71.0
17.716.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 1.3
4501
#34
17.90.4
17.417.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed