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Red52
450117.9
682416.7
707722.0
Blue61
682513.2
800529.8
585715.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696940506080901005261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+11
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
5Coral scored#5
19Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
37Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
2Foul points0
52Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7077
#39
22.01.9
24.422.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 7.8
8005
#10
29.80.0
25.725.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.7
End4.4
Second
4501
#34
17.91.2
17.916.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End-0.5
red by 2.8
5857
#38
15.10.0
16.216.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Third
6824
#32
16.71.9
16.714.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 3.5
6825
#37
13.20.1
13.713.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed