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Red140
300922.3
138854.8
504918.0
Blue195
240346.3
742665.5
442153.9
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8717750100150200250140195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +28
22Coral scored#31
78Coral points110
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
110Total teleop138
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#8
4L2#11
5L1 · trough#7
30Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
140Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.83.2
47.951.1
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
blue by 10.7
65.52.2
61.463.6
Auto18.2
Teleop39.4
End7.8
Second
3009
#18
22.33.2
19.222.4
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1
blue by 31.6
53.92.2
48.350.4
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
Third
5049
#44
18.05.0
13.318.3
Auto1.6
Teleop13.5
End2.9
blue by 28.3
46.32.2
41.844.0
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned