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Red75
760714.9
900216.4
585146.4
Blue129
942618.4
940037.6
742532.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8995608010012014075129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+30
Fouls+54
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#18
39Coral points65
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
0Processor points12
16Net points8
16Algae points20
55Total teleop85
Reef
3L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points24
75Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#13
46.40.1
43.943.8
Auto6.4
Teleop38.5
End1.5
red by 8.8
9400
#15
37.61.5
35.637.0
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
Second
9002
#30
16.40.2
16.716.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.0
End2.5
blue by 16.3
7425
#21
32.71.5
26.227.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End-0.3
Third
7607
#42
14.90.2
13.012.8
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End1.5
blue by 3.5
9426
#40
18.42.3
15.017.3
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed