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Red68
59730.2
949818.4
928718.3
Blue86
418327.1
765412.0
802217.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886602040801001201401606886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
55Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points20
68Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#33
30.20.4
28.728.4
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.5
red by 3.1
4183
#11
27.10.5
23.724.3
Auto1.4
Teleop23.9
End1.8
Second
9498
#45
18.40.6
20.019.4
Auto2.7
Teleop14.2
End1.5
red by 0.8
8022
#31
17.60.8
16.717.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End1.4
Third
9287
#26
18.30.5
19.719.1
Auto2.5
Teleop15.2
End0.7
red by 6.3
7654
#43
12.00.8
11.512.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed