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Red80
822947.8
450117.9
585715.1
Blue100
953414.1
98776.9
1018614.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821265010015020080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
Endgame+18
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
45Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points8
80Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.4
47.046.6
Auto10.5
Teleop29.9
End7.5
blue by 29.1
987
#1
76.91.2
76.074.8
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
Second
4501
#34
17.90.4
16.716.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End-0.5
red by 3.2
14.71.7
17.415.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
Third
5857
#38
15.10.4
16.215.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End2.0
red by 1.0
9534
#41
14.11.2
16.415.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned