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Red122
240346.3
429.6
99121.7
Blue92
542916.2
682416.7
940625.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125755010015020012292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
24Coral scored#14
87Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
111Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#5
9L3#4
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
122Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.3
44.044.3
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.5
red by 20.6
9406
#16
25.70.5
24.424.8
Auto2.9
Teleop15.3
End7.5
Second
4
#24
29.60.3
26.526.8
Auto3.7
Teleop23.7
End2.2
red by 12.9
6824
#32
16.70.7
14.815.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
991
#23
21.70.3
19.720.0
Auto4.0
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 5.5
5429
#36
16.20.7
17.117.8
Auto4.0
Teleop10.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned