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Red55
1036818.1
585715.1
949818.4
Blue88
300922.3
928718.3
940037.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5410101505588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +21
9Coral scored#13
32Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
42Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points6
55Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9498
#45
18.41.0
19.418.4
Auto2.7
Teleop14.2
End1.5
blue by 19.2
9400
#15
37.60.6
37.837.2
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
Second
18.10.9
15.814.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.4
End3.5
blue by 4.2
3009
#18
22.30.6
21.921.3
Auto2.3
Teleop14.9
End5.1
Third
5857
#38
15.10.7
15.815.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End2.0
blue by 3.2
9287
#26
18.30.8
19.118.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned