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Red118
138854.8
940625.7
682513.2
Blue106
742532.7
98814.4
59730.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087750150200118106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+8
+4Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points41
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
6Processor points18
12Net points28
18Algae points46
69Total teleop87
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
14Foul points6
118Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.8
52.152.9
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
red by 22.1
7425
#21
32.71.9
28.230.1
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End-0.3
Second
9406
#16
25.70.8
24.825.6
Auto2.9
Teleop15.3
End7.5
blue by 4.5
597
#33
30.21.9
28.430.2
Auto6.3
Teleop22.4
End1.5
Third
6825
#37
13.21.1
12.113.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End3.7
blue by 1.2
988
#25
14.41.9
12.514.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed