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Red195
442153.9
450117.9
441481.6
Blue75
802217.6
871716.5
760714.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18441010015020025030019575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+106Teleop
+116Endgame
+120Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave9
7Coral scored#0
37Coral points0
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +78
23Coral scored#12
84Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
10Net algae#2
12Processor points6
40Net points8
52Algae points14
136Total teleop58
Reef
11L4#4
9L3#4
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
42Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +120
6Foul points2
195Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.61.3
80.081.3
Auto17.3
Teleop57.0
End7.4
red by 64.0
8022
#31
17.60.1
17.517.6
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End1.4
Second
53.91.3
51.652.9
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
red by 37.4
8717
#22
16.50.1
16.016.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End2.0
Third
4501
#34
17.91.3
16.317.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End-0.5
red by 3.0
7607
#42
14.90.1
14.714.9
Auto2.2
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed