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Red67
742532.7
585715.1
138854.8
Blue145
942618.4
6022.3
441481.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9912305015020025067145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+70
Endgame+84
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +56
9Coral scored#20
31Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
41Total teleop97
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#6
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +14
4Cage & park18
4Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
6Foul points0
67Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.81.9
45.443.6
Auto12.2
Teleop37.4
End5.2
blue by 26.9
81.62.8
68.671.3
Auto17.3
Teleop57.0
End7.4
Second
7425
#21
32.71.7
24.222.5
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End-0.3
red by 10.4
60
#29
22.32.8
22.425.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.4
End2.6
Third
5857
#38
15.11.9
16.414.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End2.0
blue by 3.3
9426
#40
18.44.6
12.317.0
Auto2.5
Teleop12.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned