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Red203
98776.9
6022.3
441481.6
Blue72
718323.2
940037.6
450117.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2157305010015020025030020372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+121Teleop
+145Endgame
+131Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave3
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points3
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +83
20Coral scored#6
73Coral points20
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
18Processor points12
32Net points8
50Algae points20
123Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#3
10L3#1
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#11
BargeRed +24
24Cage & park0
24Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +131
12Foul points26
203Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.60.2
81.381.6
Auto17.3
Teleop57.0
End7.4
red by 44.1
9400
#15
37.60.7
37.236.5
Auto5.2
Teleop31.7
End0.7
Second
987
#1
76.90.2
76.676.8
Auto22.3
Teleop45.1
End9.4
red by 53.7
7183
#14
23.20.7
22.922.2
Auto2.4
Teleop19.3
End1.6
Third
60
#29
22.30.2
22.022.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.4
End2.6
red by 4.4
4501
#34
17.90.7
17.616.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End-0.5