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Red145
442153.9
822947.8
429.6
Blue129
871716.5
105635.4
240346.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15510650200250145129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+4
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
26Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
20Coral scored#19
71Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
93Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#7
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#29
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
145Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.90.4
52.953.3
Auto14.0
Teleop32.4
End7.6
red by 7.6
46.30.7
45.946.6
Auto6.6
Teleop38.1
End1.5
Second
47.80.4
46.847.2
Auto10.5
Teleop29.9
End7.5
red by 12.4
1056
#12
35.40.7
35.035.7
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End3.3
Third
4
#24
29.60.4
28.629.0
Auto3.7
Teleop23.7
End2.2
red by 13.0
8717
#22
16.50.7
16.116.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End2.0