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Red45
2791B15.9
279131.9
3044B32.4
Blue39
630026.7
703021.5
71620.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95740501502002503004539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044B
Unranked
32.40.0
32.432.4
Auto6.6
Teleop21.9
End3.9
red by 5.6
6300
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto6.0
Teleop16.8
End4.0
Second
2791
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto8.0
Teleop22.1
End1.7
red by 10.4
7030
Unranked
21.50.0
21.521.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Third
2791B
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.1
End0.9
blue by 4.5
716
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto3.0
Teleop17.4
End0.1