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Red106
159149.7
205327.1
25016.3
Blue74
646317.5
19145.7
304464.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9814605020025030035040010674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
Unranked
49.70.0
49.749.7
Auto14.2
Teleop31.5
End4.0
blue by 15.1
3044
Unranked
64.80.0
64.864.8
Auto13.1
Teleop43.9
End7.8
Second
2053
Unranked
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto9.7
Teleop17.2
End0.1
blue by 18.6
191
Unranked
45.70.0
45.745.7
Auto10.3
Teleop33.2
End2.2
Third
250
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.4
End3.1
blue by 1.2
6463
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto2.5
Teleop13.8
End1.2