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Red194
99977.2
179674.2
69489.7
Blue114
341945.6
36929.4
659320.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20096050150250300350194114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+70Teleop
+82Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave6
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points27
58Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +45
28Coral scored#16
100Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
120Total teleop75
Reef
14L4#6
11L3#6
7L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points2
194Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.70.5
88.288.7
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 44.1
45.60.3
45.345.5
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
Second
74.20.5
72.873.2
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
red by 44.8
369
#3
29.40.3
29.129.3
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
Third
9997
#21
7.20.5
5.86.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 13.6
6593
#15
20.90.3
20.620.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End2.4