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Red214
99977.2
179674.2
69489.7
Blue118
341945.6
36929.4
659320.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2019650150250300214118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+104Teleop
+114Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
9Leave6
11Coral scored#3
56Coral points17
65Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +62
28Coral scored#12
99Coral points43
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
133Total teleop71
Reef
14L4#8
10L3#3
8L2#2
7L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points18
214Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.71.0
88.789.7
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 44.1
45.60.0
45.545.6
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
Second
74.21.0
73.274.2
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
red by 44.8
369
#3
29.40.0
29.329.4
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
Third
9997
#21
7.21.0
6.37.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 13.6
6593
#15
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End2.4