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Red17
1022910.4
27121.5
Blue43
188021.9
286925.9
36929.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4012701001502002503001743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +21
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
10Total teleop31
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
2Foul points4
17Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
#19
21.51.8
23.121.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
blue by 7.9
369
#3
29.44.4
24.019.6
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
Second
10.41.8
10.18.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 15.5
2869
#16
25.94.4
43.038.6
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Third
8.92.6
8.45.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 12.9
1880
#13
21.94.4
37.633.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed