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Red227
33427.7
69489.7
180759.1
Blue120
179674.2
542111.8
9998-1.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22093050150200250300227120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+89Teleop
+101Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points25
37Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +86
24Coral scored#12
88Coral points44
5Processor algae#2
10Net algae#4
30Processor points12
40Net points16
70Algae points28
158Total teleop72
Reef
8L4#7
10L3#6
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +107
6Foul points0
227Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
89.71.7
93.595.1
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
red by 15.5
74.20.9
73.073.9
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
Second
59.11.7
65.467.1
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End5.0
red by 47.4
5421
#20
11.81.3
11.813.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Third
334
#12
27.71.7
25.627.3
Auto5.4
Teleop21.5
End0.7
red by 29.4
9998
#23
-1.81.5
12.414.0
Auto2.1
Teleop-3.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned34%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned