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Red142
36929.4
27121.5
691149.5
Blue92
180759.1
1041316.3
963620.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811905010015020014292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+56Teleop
+58Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +43
23Coral scored#10
84Coral points35
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
108Total teleop65
Reef
11L4#4
7L3#4
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points8
142Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.54.1
40.844.9
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
blue by 9.6
59.10.8
64.563.7
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End5.0
Second
369
#3
29.44.1
17.521.5
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
red by 8.9
9636
#22
20.50.8
15.714.9
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
Third
271
#19
21.54.1
22.326.4
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
red by 5.2
16.30.9
16.315.3
Auto2.1
Teleop12.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed