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Red133
529824.2
179674.2
99977.2
Blue121
341945.6
999929.6
33427.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13267050100150200250300133121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+18Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +4
19Coral scored#12
67Coral points43
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
6Processor points18
16Net points24
22Algae points42
89Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points6
133Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.20.4
71.371.7
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
red by 28.6
45.61.3
37.739.0
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
Second
24.20.4
32.232.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
blue by 5.4
29.62.2
13.315.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
Third
9997
#21
7.20.7
7.07.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 20.4
334
#12
27.71.3
26.928.2
Auto5.4
Teleop21.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed