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Red33
9998-1.8
33330.5
36929.4
Blue24
16018.0
542111.8
286925.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70622040801003324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
6Coral scored#2
21Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
25Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
33Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#10
30.52.1
35.433.2
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End3.7
red by 4.5
2869
#16
25.92.5
38.636.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.4
End3.7
Second
369
#3
29.42.1
19.617.5
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
red by 17.6
5421
#20
11.83.4
13.19.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
Third
9998
#23
-1.83.6
10.26.7
Auto2.1
Teleop-3.7
End-0.2
blue by 9.8
1601
#18
8.02.5
10.17.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed