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Qual 72025 NYC Robo Replay
Red93
659320.9
963620.5
341945.6
Blue155
69489.7
999929.6
27121.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8114305010020025093155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+58
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +16
9Leave0
2Coral scored#7
11Coral points36
20Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +42
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
61Total teleop103
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#8
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
93Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#5
45.60.2
37.5→37.7
Auto14.3
Teleop25.7
End5.6
blue by 44.1
694
#1
89.71.1
95.1→96.2
Auto22.3
Teleop57.5
End9.9
Second
6593
#15
20.90.2
28.0→28.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.2
End2.4
blue by 8.7
9999
#6
29.61.8
11.5→13.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
Third
9636
#22
20.50.2
15.5→15.7
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
blue by 1.0
271
#19
21.51.1
21.3→22.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned