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Red59
16018.0
1022910.4
964223.0
Blue61
529824.2
691149.5
9998-1.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5510001502005961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+30
Endgame+26
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points1
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +29
3Coral scored#10
12Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
20Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
24Foul points0
59Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.6
32.831.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End3.0
blue by 26.5
49.52.2
43.040.8
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Second
10.41.6
8.36.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 13.8
24.22.2
34.432.2
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
Third
1601
#18
8.01.6
11.710.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End1.3
red by 9.8
9998
#23
-1.83.7
14.010.2
Auto2.1
Teleop-3.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed