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Red48
542111.8
36929.4
529824.2
Blue24
9998-1.8
964223.0
188021.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6869204060801004824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +23
7Coral scored#2
24Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
34Total teleop11
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#0
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
10Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
48Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#3
29.41.1
21.520.5
Auto3.4
Teleop25.6
End0.4
red by 6.4
23.03.0
31.228.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End3.0
Second
24.21.1
32.631.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.8
End2.2
red by 2.3
1880
#13
21.93.0
30.727.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0
Third
5421
#20
11.81.3
9.88.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End2.2
red by 13.5
9998
#23
-1.85.0
6.71.7
Auto2.1
Teleop-3.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed