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Red135
179674.2
963620.5
Blue185
999929.6
180759.1
1022910.4
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12381050100150200250135185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+46
Teleop+28
Endgame+48
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +46
9Leave0
6Coral scored#17
28Coral points83
37Total auto83
TeleoperatedRed +18
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
94Total teleop76
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#9
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#5
30Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points2
135Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.21.5
71.773.2
Auto25.9
Teleop42.3
End6.0
red by 15.1
59.15.0
63.768.7
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End5.0
Second
9636
#22
20.51.5
14.916.4
Auto2.5
Teleop16.8
End1.2
blue by 9.1
29.68.3
15.523.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End7.5
Third
8.91.6
4.96.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 1.5
10.45.0
5.710.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned