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Red72
33427.7
27121.5
99977.2
Blue102
188021.9
691149.5
33330.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51130010015020025072102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+45
Teleop+54
Endgame+62
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +45
3Leave0
1Coral scored#11
6Coral points54
9Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +9
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
25Total teleop34
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
32Foul points0
72Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
334
#12
27.71.5
28.226.7
Auto5.4
Teleop21.5
End0.7
blue by 21.9
49.50.2
44.944.7
Auto12.7
Teleop31.9
End4.9
Second
271
#19
21.51.5
26.425.0
Auto3.1
Teleop17.2
End1.2
blue by 9.0
333
#10
30.50.2
32.232.0
Auto5.1
Teleop21.7
End3.7
Third
9997
#21
7.22.5
7.75.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 14.6
1880
#13
21.90.2
27.727.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned